Bitcoin: The journey of Bitcoin has always been filled with unexpected twists, emotional highs, and sharp downturns. Over the past week, the flagship cryptocurrency once again tested the patience of its investors by slipping below the $110,000 mark. By Tuesday, August 26, it was trading under pressure, but a slight rebound to $113,000 on Thursday gave traders a glimmer of hope. Sadly, that hope was short-lived, as Bitcoin soon fell back to a new multi-week low near $107,500.
A Bold Forecast Bitcoin on Its Way to $256,000
Crypto analyst Frank Fetter, drawing from historical Bitcoin market cycles, has predicted that the cryptocurrency could soar to as high as $256,000 by December 2025. His analysis, shared on the social platform X, is rooted in Bitcoin’s cyclical nature, particularly the Bitcoin Index Performance chart that tracks price action across different four-year periods.
According to Fetter, history suggests that Bitcoin tends to peak around 1,100 days after hitting its cycle low. In previous cycles between 2015 to 2018 and 2018 to 2022 the asset grew by an astonishing 110x and 21x, respectively. With Bitcoin currently up more than seven times from its last cycle low, he believes the cryptocurrency still has room to grow before this bull market ends.
If past trends repeat, Bitcoin could mirror the 2018–2022 cycle pattern and witness a massive rally in the final stretch of 2025. Fetter even went as far as pinpointing December 3, 2025 as the potential date for this cycle’s peak, projecting a dramatic 140% increase from today’s levels.
The Logic Behind the Prediction
This prediction is not just wild speculation. It’s based on years of historical data showing that Bitcoin often follows a repeated rhythm. Every four years, the market experiences dramatic rises and equally sharp corrections, largely tied to the halving cycle that reduces the supply of new BTC entering circulation.
The past two bull cycles both followed this pattern, reaching their tops almost exactly 1,100 days after the lowest point of the cycle. Currently, Bitcoin appears to be following a similar path, with only about 100 days left before history suggests the market should be nearing its top.
If the pattern holds true, Bitcoin could complete its journey to a six-figure rally, making 2025 one of the most historic years in the cryptocurrency’s evolution.
Current Market Struggles
For now, however, Bitcoin seems far from its potential target. As of writing, the price hovers around $108,301, reflecting a 4% drop in the last 24 hours and a 7% decline over the past week, according to CoinGecko data. This shows the contrast between short-term volatility and the possibility of long-term exponential growth.
Investors remain divided some fear the bull cycle has already peaked, while others believe that history is repeating itself and Bitcoin is only preparing for its biggest rally yet.
Bitcoin has always been a story of resilience. From being declared “dead” countless times to reaching heights no one thought possible, the cryptocurrency continues to surprise the world. If analyst Frank Fetter’s prediction proves accurate, the coming months could mark one of Bitcoin’s most legendary rallies yet, pushing its price to a staggering $256,000 by December 2025.
Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Always do your own research or consult a professional advisor before making financial decisions.
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