Bitcoin: CryptoBirb, a respected trader and analyst, recently shared insights on social media indicating that Bitcoin has roughly 60 days of growth left, putting it at 93% completion of its current cycle, which has lasted 1,007 days. This timeline aligns closely with the Cycle Peak Countdown indicator, hinting that the leading cryptocurrency could soon enter the final stage of its bullish momentum.
Understanding the Potential Peak and Bear Market
Looking at Bitcoin’s historical cycles, CryptoBirb highlights clear patterns that could shape the next few months. Early Bitcoin cycles lasted around 350 days, while recent cycles have stretched over 1,000 days. Currently, Bitcoin’s trajectory is approaching 1,060 to 1,100 days, placing it in the final 5-8% of this bull run. This stage often signals important shifts not only for Bitcoin but also for the broader crypto market.
The Bitcoin Halving in April 2025 is another crucial factor. Historical data shows that after previous Halvings, Bitcoin typically reached its peak around 492 days later, which would place the potential top between October 19 and November 20, 2025. If this pattern holds, we could be just 60 days away from the cycle’s climax, after which the next significant bearish phase might unfold in 2026.
Past bear markets have lasted between 364 and 411 days, with average losses of about 66%, suggesting that Bitcoin could retrace toward $37,000 if history repeats itself.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
August and September are traditionally challenging months for Bitcoin, often showing lower average returns. On the other hand, October and November tend to be stronger months, aligning with the anticipated cycle peak.
Currently, Bitcoin is trading just above key support levels, with the weekly chart indicating a mean-based support around $97,094 and a critical resistance level near $117,058. Analysts recommend watching these levels closely in the coming weeks. A drop below $110,000 could signal the start of a bearish trend, while holding above this floor provides cautious optimism.
Despite recent volatility, on-chain metrics remain healthy, with mining costs around $97,124 and no immediate signs of capitulation. Even though ETF flows have shown minor outflows, the overall market structure still suggests careful optimism as we approach the potential peak.
What This Means for Investors
The next 60 days could be pivotal for Bitcoin holders. While the current sentiment is mixed, historical cycles, Halving events, and seasonal trends all suggest that the market may be preparing for a significant finale in the fourth quarter of 2025. For investors, this period could offer opportunities but also requires caution, as Bitcoin’s trajectory might change quickly once the peak passes.
Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and involve risk. Always conduct your own research or consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
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